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Travel and Tourism

Future Trends

Future Trends.jpg

  • The travel and tourism industry is vulnerable to the state of the economy - as the economy recovers and people have more money to spend on holidays the industry is predicted to grow again.
  • Business travel too has suffered with those needing to travel during the recession seeking out cheaper deals and budget airline routes.
  • Jobs in travel and tourism are expected to have modest growth of about 60 thousand jobs by 2017 as the UK comes out of the recession.
  • The larger budget airlines continue to expand and develop routes outside Europe - although some have not managed to survive the recession. For example the Scottish Budget airline group' FlyGlobespan' , the 'XL Leisure group' airline and 'Sky Europe' were all smaller airlines that have not survived the loss of income from lower passenger numbers.
  • Large travel conglomerations, such as the international UK based TUI group, are set to continue to dominate the industry - as they can take advantage of significant changes in the travel and tourist markets that the smaller groups may not be able to do so.  For example air transport and tourism is forecast to grow substantially as a result of strong demand from the Asian market but companies would need a foothold in Asia to benefit from this.
  • The UK is limited in the level of future growth it will be able to achieve in air travel as airports reach their full capacity. There are plans to expand some airports though. It is argued that if UK airports increase capacity, air transport will continue to grow but there are also environmental pressure groups who argue that air capacity should not increase.
  • Online booking and automated check in has affected the number of administration and airport services staff and this trend is likely to continue.
  • Travel agency retail outlets are set to continue the trend of becoming fewer in number but bigger. 

The data in the table below reflects the numbers expected to be working in a variety of occupational roles across the hospitality, leisure, travel and tourism sector (unfortunately the figures cannot be broken down further to the travel and tourism services industry).

The figures show the proportional change in employment predicted between 2008 and 2017. It should be noted that this only shows the change in total employment.   There will also be a demand for new workers to replace those people who have either changed jobs or left the industry altogether.


Total employment

Percentage change






Managers and Senior Officials






Travel agency managers





Personal Service Occupations






Travel agents

Travel and tour guides





Projection figures from 'Working Futures 2007 -2017' Warwick Institute of Employment Research - November 2008.

Figures also from People First SSC LMI report - November 2009.